On the eve.RU. The draft declaration on CSTO assistance to Armenia is not yet ready to be signed by the Prime Minister of the Republic Nikol Pashinyan. He believes that the text does not contain a clear political assessment of the situation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border, which means that the CSTO can refuse allied obligations and will not take the side of Armenia, which will untie Azerbaijan’s hands. Such a public demarche affects not only the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict, but also the work of the CSTO as a whole. However, all this is happening in the context of the desire of the Armenian authorities to “change allies,” said a State Duma deputy, a member of the Committee on CIS Affairs Konstantin Zatulin. He shared his expertise with On the eve.RU:
– The CSTO preferred to act behind the scenes, not openly, when it came to the fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan near the border, and then the advance of the Azerbaijani troops. It seems to me that the Armenian side aimed at changing the negotiation format in order to publicly or through its supporters, especially in social networks, accuse the CSTO of inefficiency and raise, at least in the Armenian society, the need to change allies.
As I understand it, there was an opportunity to adopt the document, despite the fact that Azerbaijan has lobbyists in the CSTO, this role is usually played by the president of Belarus. There is no doubt that, as President Aliyev says in such cases, Azerbaijan also has partners in the CSTO, such as Kazakhstan, which does not miss the opportunity to express its opinion and unwillingness to enter into any conflict with Azerbaijan over Armenia. At the same time, the position of the President of the Russian Federation, the Russian delegation as a whole is that, of course, we must recognize the reality and support our ally Armenia, if necessary. For many reasons, including those related to the current situation in the Northern Military District, Russia would not want such a “second front” in the Caucasus, would not like the resumption of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. It is also obvious that Russia is against violence and military methods of solving long-standing problems in the region.
Vladimir Putin said that Russia is for a peace treaty in this matter, it seems that everyone else is also for a peace treaty, but I have the impression that Pashinyan, knowing perfectly well the internal situation in the CSTO and understanding the difficult situation of Russia, leads to a dead end an attempt to find Solomon’s decision within the CSTO, demanding in the end all or nothing.
What is a refusal to sign a document? This is an all-or-nothing position that works on the idea that the CSTO is not the organization with which Armenia associates its future in the military-political field. This position of Pashinyan pours water on the mill of those who would like to eventually move away from the CSTO and the created bloc. And it is easy to imagine that in the future this gives rise to the problem of an alliance with Russia as such. Outwardly, it doesn’t look like that, but in fact it leads exactly to this.
Such a statement by Pashinyan gives food to those critics of Russia and the CSTO in Armenia, whom the Armenian authorities actively support. In Armenian social networks, the idea is being propagated that it is necessary to abandon Russia and the CSTO, it is necessary to look for new allies. And these “allies” are right there: Nancy Pelosi has already visited Armenia in September, contacts with American congressmen are actively developing at the level of the National Assembly of Armenia, and we can say that now, with his position, Pashinyan actually contributes to the development of this trend.
I am in favor of the CSTO being more active when it comes to the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. We must call a spade a spade – the advance of Azerbaijani troops into the territory of Armenia even by 8 kilometers is a violation, and the CSTO should have publicly stated this much earlier. Wanting to calm the passions and resorting to extreme measures, the CSTO, it seems to me, fell into a certain trap set not only by Azerbaijan, but also by the Armenian side, aiming at changing allies. That is, he substituted himself for compromise. Vladimir Putin’s trip to Yerevan and the holding of a summit in the capital of Armenia were designed to restore confidence in the CSTO, but it was Pashinyan’s actions, his public refusal, that made this task difficult and today allows critics of the bloc to develop their activity.
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